Analytics

Tuesday 12 March 2013


As Cheltenham 2013 kicks off on a wintry start, now is a good time to look at some of the greats and favourites and see how we think they compare.

This years Gold Cup is a transition year as the new hopefuls look to establish themselves as the jumping elite. Bobs Worth has the form and potential to be the next great but this will his biggest test yet. Long Run is the only one of the old guard in the field. After early promise and winning a Gold Cup in 2011 against a class field his form has levelled and now looks as though his best days may be behind him.
Kauto Star

Kauto Star was undoubtedly one of the best. My first Cheltenham visit was a snowy 1989 as Desert Orchid took the Gold Cup. This was undoubtedly the grittiest Gold Cup performance but Dessie didn't quite have the stamina of Kauto Star. Denman was a crowd favourite as he never game up and if not for injury could well have won more than one Gold Cup himself. Best Mate won three Gold Cups which is a fantastic achievement. We are still not sure how good he was as the opposition didn't seem quite as good as many other years, but he could only beat what was in front of him.

So a fantasy Gold Cup of the last 25 years, who would be in the line up. The Fellow was always a threat from France, Imperial Call was very impressive when he won and who can forget Norton's Coin triumph at 100-1 on fast ground. For a fantasy Gold cup there also needs to be some favourites that never quite won the crowd. My particular Barton Bank, I will never forget the last fence fall in the King George.

My 16 Runners for the last 25 years of the Cheltenham Gold Cup would be

Kauto Star - P.Nicholls R.Walsh
Denman - P.Nicholls S.Thoams
Best Mate - Henrietta Knite J.Culloty
Desert Orchid - D.Elsworth S.Sherwood
Garrison Savannah - Jenny Pitman M.Pitman
The Fellow - F.Doumen A.Kondrat
Cavvies Clown - D.Elsworth G.Bradley
Jodami - P.Beaumont Mark Dwyer
Barton Bank - D.Nicholson D.Bridgwater
Imperial Call - F.Sutherland C. O'Dwyer
See More Business - P.Nicholls M.Fitzgerald
Kicking King - T.Taaffe B.Geraghty
Neptune Collognes - P.Nicholls R.Thornton
Imperial Commander - N.Twiston-Davies P.Brennan
Doran's Pride - M.Hourighan P.Carberry
Rough Quest - T.Casey A.McCoy

Betting. 4 Kauto Star 6 Denman, Best Mate 8 Desert Orchid 10 The Fellow, Imperial Call 12 Imperial Commander, Jodami 14 Garrison Savannah 20 See More Business, Cavvies Clown, Kicking King 25 Neptune Collognes, Rough Quest 33 Baron Bank, Doran's Pride

Desert Orchid



Thursday 31 January 2013

Concentrate on the League or Cup

Luton's victory on Saturday at Norwich was the first ever Non-League success over a top tier team since the Premier League began. Slightly surprising considering the weakened sides that often appear against lower opposition in the cup.

Taking nothing away from Luton's fantastic victory, it doesn't quite have the romance as a Tooting & Mitcham or Blyth Spartans run in the 70's. Luton are probably the biggest Non-League club and within the last 20 years have won a League Cup and reached a Semi-Final of the FA Cup and been in the top tier.

I have heard many people say that the league is more important and promotion is the priority. As a fan of a Non-League club I can remember every FA Cup 1st round game the highs and lows. I guarantee Luton Town fans in twenty years will remember Saturday rather than a victory to secure promotion.

The memories and emotion from being the underdog and achieving something so unexpected far outweigh a predictable promotion challenge. Luton are expected to challenge for promotion, they are one of the best supported in the League and their history shows they are playing below their level.

If the cup run results in tired players and injuries and another season in Non-League football would it be a disaster. What memories to take away from the 2012/3 season. Promotion may lead to a mundane season in League 2 next year. If Luton miss out on promotion this year then next year will see them in an even better financial position for their promotion push. Go for it Luton, be the first Non-League club to reach the Quarter-Finals. Forget the league concentrate on the cup, your fans will remember it.

Saturday 19 January 2013

Lance : half a story

So what have we learnt from Lance Armstrong's heartfelt chat with Oprah. He can't remember who he sues, he's not going to talk about others involved and he's a little bit sorry but not a cheat. This seems a half hearted apology which will surely fail to find the redemption he wants. Nothing short of a full open account is likely to inspire any kind of public sympathy.

Being a professional cyclist was no easy place to be in the 90's. From the accounts of Tyler Hamilton, David Millar and others it is clear you came to the point in your career where you came to the crossroads, to dope or not to dope. Starting with a few tablets to pop for recovery which were borderline, the gradual move to the stronger stuff, EPO and worse was inevitable for many. To ride clean meant you were extremely unlikely to be good enough to lead a team and so your career would stall.

We all would like to think that we would have made the right decision in the same situation, but sportsman don't like being left behind. It is not surprising that so many took the easy decision of doping encouraged by little chance of being court and short bans. So why was Lance Armstrong different?

It wasn't just because he was a winner that Armstrong became a target but more to do with his arrogance and continual self-belief of invincibility that meant people like David Walsh et al would not let it lie. The intimidation of those telling the truth and the increasing number of enemies he built up meant that the House of Prescriptions was going to fall down.

Now Lance, your invincibility has gone, break a habit of a lifetime open up and tell the full story. The UCI link is key and until the silence of this relationship is broken cycling will remain in the shadows.